Gujarat Exit Polls

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Predictions of exit polls regarding the lately concluded elections in Gujarat as well as Himachal Pradesh shows BJP is directing towards victory in both places. Congress will gong to settle with only 70 seats, and on the other hand, BJP will be expected to grasp 100 seas in Gujarat.

Predictions by all the exit polls are that BJP will definitely win and retain in Gujarat. If predictions of polls are proving to be right then, it would be a boost up for BJP. As per the exit poll predictions, BJP will grasp amid 99 to 113 seats in the state assembly of 182 seats. Congress party, on the other hand, will be expecting to get amid 68 to 82 seats. The vote share of BJP will come down to one percent from 48 percent in 2012 to 47 percent in existing 2017. On the other side, Congress is expected to grasp nearly about 42 percent votes which are about 3 percent more than the last elections Axis My India exit polls displays significant gains for Congress in 32 seats of North Gujarat and 54 seats of Kachchh as well as Saurashtra. However, BJP crosses the line with the strong performance with about 21 seats of Ahmadabad district and also in South and Central Gujarat.

Exit polls explain regarding the region-wise breakdown and for what reasons notes, as well as pundits, were choosing mix signals throughout Gujarat campaign. On the other side Kadva Patels and Leva, Kolis, Thakors as well as Dalits all have voted congress in considerable numbers in Kachch and Saurashtra along with North Gujarat. Though in Central Gujarat and South Gujarat Congress cannot grasp, many votes.

A battle for BJP

For BJP Gujarat elections 2017 was a bruising battle as it has been in power in Gujarat since 1995. The adverse situations which had been building up for more than 22 years could harm the image of BJP, and that could also affect in 2017 elections. But the proud linked with having a Gujarati PM as well as a formidable election machine which was led by Amit Shah assisted the saffron party to cross up the finishing line.

As per the exit polls, GST and demonetization did not harm the BJP image and also its prospects in urban areas. Saffron party is expected to grasp a whooping of about 42 out of 55 seats of urban Gujarat areas. Several traders were voicing their despondency against GST and demonetization but when the time comes to choose the preferred to go with BJP.

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On the other hand, Congress party is expected to gasp just 13 urban seats and yet again rooted in commercial centers of Vadodara, Ahmedabad as well as Surat. The breakdown of Gujarat exit polls which is purely caste wise shows the insight view of the thinking of voters in Gujarat. Congress party is shown in the lead with 8 Leva Patel dominated seats out of 12, on the other hand, BJP leads to 4. It is clear that Congress heading up in three out of four Kadva Patel dominates seats. It apparently depicts that Hardik Patel matter harms the BJP prospect on Patidar dominated seats of the state which were previously measured to be BJP’s iron grip.

As per Axis My India reports Congress party is leading with 13 out of 35 seats of Thakor dominated seats and BJP is only with 12. This depicts that alliance with Alpesh Thakore seems to assist the Congress party in Thakor dominated seats in Gujarat. Also, the consolidation of Patidar votes in Congress party support in rural areas appears to have led to opposing consolidation of rival cases on those seats.BJP has been recognized with a sturdy performance by 35 out of 52 OBC votes of the state, and Congress grasped only 16 OBC seats.

On more interesting insight is that Thakor, as well as Patidar campaigning, can only make an impact in North Gujarat, the area where Hardik, as well as Alpesh, came from. On the other hand in Central as well as South Gujarat together Patidars along with Thakors supported BJP in large numbers.

Together PM Modi, as well as BJP president Amit Shah, was working very hard to construct inroads into tribal pockets and these strategies paid a very good dividend for the BJP. The saffron party showed heading up with 17 out of 28 tribal dominated votes of Gujarat, and Congress party on the other side leads with 11.

Choices vary with age groups

It is apparent that the only age group Congress party is leading is of 18 to 25 which gave Congress 45 percent of votes in comparison to 44 percent support to BJP party. It seems that youth is joining hands with Rahul Gandhi and will definitely put an impact on all the young voters of the state. The lead of saffron party is mostly among voters of the age group which is above 60. As 51 percent of people choosing BJP and just 37 percent is with Congress.

Same as these Congress supporters are mostly uneducated voters with about 47 percent and 44 percent for BJP. And support for BJP is highest among the educated people that are nearly about 50 percent. It is confirmed that Congress has put up a much stronger performance in c comparison to last elections. But undoubtedly Rahul Gandhi still have to go a long way prior to catching up with PM Modi.

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Predictions of exit polls regarding the lately concluded elections in Gujarat as well as Himachal Pradesh shows BJP is directing towards victory in both places. Congress will gong to settle with only 70 seats, and on the other hand, BJP will be expected to grasp 100 seas in Gujarat. Predictions...

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